Fair Implied Probability Pricing · Find it, price it, position it
POLYMARKETKALSHIReady
Select your settings and press Predict. Data loads directly from public exchange APIs.

Fipp Prediction Opportunities

Live market comparison · Public quotes · Scenario stress tests
Awaiting market scan
Markets examined—
Traders analyzed—
Top predictions—
Verified buys0
Research candidates—
Followed predictions0
RankPrediction / OutcomeExchangeMarket probabilityPrice historyVerified edgeTACO scenarioGross gain*Max loss*DecisionAction
Click Predict to populate real market data and charts.
*Illustrative stake derived from bankroll and risk preference. Returns are gross, before fees and slippage. No trade is approved without independent fair-value evidence.

Key Metrics

Select a market to see its metrics

Price History & Probability

Public price-history graph appears here

Reversal Scenario (TACO)

A scenario and sensitivity comparison appears here

Supporting Evidence

Source links and audit flags appear here

Candidate Research & Smart-Money Verification

Select Research on a contract to inspect public trader positions. A leaderboard ranking alone is not evidence of support.

No candidate selected
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Paper Portfolio Builder

Save candidates, edit hypothetical stakes, and compare capital at risk, best-case payout, current mark-to-market value, and deadlines.

My Followed Predictions

Save a prediction to compare its initial quote with later public status. Stored in this browser.
Advanced Research · API diagnostics, all scanned markets, methodology

No API calls yet.

ExchangeMarketOutcomePriceVolume 24hLiquidity / OIDeadlineSource

Ranking changes with risk: conservative favors higher probability, liquidity and near-term resolution; aggressive favors payout asymmetry. This is not independently estimated expected value. Market-implied probability approximates contract price. The dashboard does not claim independent fair values or verified positive expected value. Public market availability is limited by each exchange's pagination, browser access and API coverage. Top trader data comes from public Polymarket rankings, not Kalshi user identities. TACO scenarios are conditional illustrative assumptions and do not represent calibrated forecasts. Exact contract settlement rules, fees, and jurisdiction restrictions must be checked independently.